Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.019303 0.021196 0.023100 0.025153 0.027300 0.029477 0.031844
2025-06-22 0.015331 0.018258 0.021321 0.024745 0.028446 0.032307 0.036620
2025-06-29 0.012715 0.016159 0.019879 0.024148 0.028868 0.033888 0.039593
2025-07-06 0.010423 0.014139 0.018276 0.023142 0.028631 0.034568 0.041412
2025-07-13 0.009347 0.013372 0.017966 0.023469 0.029771 0.036669 0.044702
2025-07-20 0.008191 0.012400 0.017324 0.023334 0.030318 0.038049 0.047136
2025-07-27 0.007182 0.011513 0.016709 0.023164 0.030767 0.039271 0.049351
2025-08-03 0.006687 0.011223 0.016772 0.023759 0.032070 0.041438 0.052608
2025-08-10 0.005876 0.010459 0.016203 0.023555 0.032407 0.042471 0.054554
2025-08-17 0.005125 0.009712 0.015610 0.023282 0.032626 0.043342 0.056292
2025-08-24 0.004523 0.009117 0.015170 0.023165 0.033007 0.044378 0.058201
2025-08-31 0.003940 0.008498 0.014664 0.022936 0.033227 0.045208 0.059855
2025-09-07 0.003454 0.008019 0.014362 0.023011 0.033884 0.046636 0.062311
2025-09-14 0.002853 0.007309 0.013726 0.022648 0.034011 0.047453 0.064085
2025-09-21 0.002270 0.006547 0.012962 0.022077 0.033845 0.047892 0.065390
2025-09-28 0.001670 0.005652 0.011944 0.021119 0.033153 0.047670 0.065887
2025-10-05 0.001458 0.005426 0.011883 0.021430 0.034055 0.049366 0.068653
2025-10-12 0.001177 0.005015 0.011515 0.021302 0.034382 0.050350 0.070561
2025-10-19 0.000928 0.004616 0.011137 0.021140 0.034649 0.051251 0.072361
2025-10-26 0.000838 0.004555 0.011284 0.021706 0.035858 0.053310 0.075551
2025-11-02 0.000638 0.004183 0.010905 0.021513 0.036064 0.054119 0.077230
2025-11-09 0.000462 0.003807 0.010492 0.021252 0.036167 0.054792 0.078735
2025-11-16 0.000335 0.003513 0.010194 0.021141 0.036457 0.055689 0.080506